Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.005571 0.006190 0.006861 0.007645 0.008539 0.009529 0.010714
2025-06-15 0.004575 0.005421 0.006412 0.007670 0.009234 0.011132 0.013635
2025-06-22 0.004126 0.005104 0.006313 0.007935 0.010082 0.012867 0.016817
2025-06-29 0.003646 0.004659 0.005962 0.007787 0.010324 0.013793 0.019017
2025-07-06 0.003270 0.004292 0.005650 0.007626 0.010487 0.014585 0.021089
2025-07-13 0.003015 0.004053 0.005476 0.007615 0.010835 0.015649 0.023686
2025-07-20 0.002861 0.003935 0.005449 0.007800 0.011473 0.017204 0.027268
2025-07-27 0.002660 0.003729 0.005273 0.007735 0.011710 0.018145 0.029958
2025-08-03 0.002501 0.003570 0.005147 0.007731 0.012031 0.019245 0.033082
2025-08-10 0.002341 0.003395 0.004981 0.007641 0.012192 0.020082 0.035842
2025-08-17 0.002229 0.003283 0.004903 0.007681 0.012573 0.021342 0.039609
2025-08-24 0.002100 0.003135 0.004753 0.007588 0.012703 0.022152 0.042598
2025-08-31 0.001941 0.002935 0.004515 0.007337 0.012552 0.022466 0.044727
2025-09-07 0.001848 0.002836 0.004435 0.007356 0.012908 0.023825 0.049451
2025-09-14 0.001805 0.002815 0.004484 0.007609 0.013733 0.026247 0.057139
2025-09-21 0.001699 0.002681 0.004328 0.007468 0.013767 0.027010 0.060989
2025-09-28 0.001601 0.002552 0.004172 0.007315 0.013755 0.027670 0.064721
2025-10-05 0.001532 0.002472 0.004096 0.007304 0.014037 0.029028 0.070619
2025-10-12 0.001497 0.002446 0.004114 0.007480 0.014735 0.031452 0.080107
2025-10-19 0.001430 0.002361 0.004019 0.007419 0.014905 0.032639 0.086303
2025-10-26 0.001376 0.002295 0.003954 0.007415 0.015202 0.034183 0.094016
2025-11-02 0.001316 0.002214 0.003855 0.007329 0.015300 0.035234 0.100442
2025-11-09 0.001274 0.002166 0.003816 0.007368 0.015696 0.037133 0.110294